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South America is often a victim of
El Niño.
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What you're telling me, Davis, is that no one
knows when an El Niño will occur. But if one does occur, where can
I find an El Niño?
"El Niño can be found
in and above the Pacific Ocean for two reasons. One is because of specific
trade winds over the Pacific, and the other is the size of of the Pacific.
"The trade winds in the
Pacific are an obvious part of the El Niño phenomenon. If the
west-moving trade winds did not occasionally weaken, then the warm water
could never collect off the coast of South America.
"The other reason is that
the Pacific Ocean is the widest ocean on Earth, wider than the Atlantic
or the Indian. Scientists believe that because the Pacific covers so much
water, conditions change more slowly than in other oceans.
"Some scientists believe
that other oceans, like the Atlantic, form warm or cold spots like the
Pacific. But natural forces, like waves or trade winds, cross and affect
the entire ocean. These forces break up warm spots in the ocean before
they have a chance to grow to a size like El Niño.
"But the Pacific is a much
larger ocean. Winds and waves take a much longer time to cross it, losing
power as they go. When they reach a warm spot, they are weaker and have
a lessened effect on it. The result is that these warm spots can survive
and grow in the Pacific, where in other oceans they would be minimized.
"So scientists think that
because of the Pacific Ocean's size and trade winds, El Niño has
a better opportunity to exist there than in any other ocean."
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